Match Info

Date: 4 January 2021, Monday


	Cremonese		Chievo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3	2.4
	3.35	3.05	2.3	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.28
	3.58	3.08	2.36
	3.3	3	2.35
	3.38	3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.08)	3 ↑ (2.98)	2.34 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
28.1%

Draw
31.5%

Chievo
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

31.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

21.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cremonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	54.5%	27.3%

Cremonese - Chievo Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Chievo will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 9).

Cremonese has a chance of relegated (32%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chievo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chievo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Reggina - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
27.12.20	Cremonese - Monza	0:2 ✺
22.12.20	Pordenone - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWL
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Chievo - Venezia	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	Pisa - Chievo	2:2 ✺
19.12.20	Chievo - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	SPAL - Chievo	0:0 ✺
11.12.20	Chievo - Reggina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.07.20	Cremonese - Chievo	1:0
07.12.19	Chievo - Cremonese	1:0

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