Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Benevento		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.75
	1.7	4.1	4.33
	1.8	4	3.8
	1.68	4	4.2
	1.68	4.27	4.61
	1.7	4	4.5
	1.68	4.2	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)	4.05 ↑ (3.9)	4.38 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
55.4%

Draw
23.1%

Empoli
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

15.7%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Benevento - Empoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Benevento is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Empoli in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Empoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Empoli have a series of home games.

In this match Benevento is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Benevento - Napoli	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Roma - Benevento	5:2 ✺
04.10.20	Benevento - Bologna	1:0 ✺
30.09.20	Benevento - Inter Milan	2:5 ✺
26.09.20	Sampdoria - Benevento	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWLW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
23.10.20	Empoli - Pisa	3:1 ✺
20.10.20	Empoli - SPAL	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Pescara - Empoli	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Empoli - Renate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.06.20	Empoli - Benevento	0:0
03.11.19	Benevento - Empoli	2:0

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