Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Benevento		Napoli

	1	X	2
	8	5.5	1.33	Watch
	7.75	5.5	1.35
	7	5.2	1.38	Watch
	6.8	5	1.39
	7.79	5.42	1.4
	8	5	1.38	Watch
	7.8	5.35	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.59 ↓ (8.2)	5.28 ↓ (5.58)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
12.6%

Draw
18.1%

Napoli
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

17.1%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

9.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-29.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	1.9%	67.3%

Benevento - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 16 - 30.8%). Napoli will win (votes: 35 - 67.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 54.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Benevento has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Napoli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (62%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Recent matches Benevento is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benevento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Napoli have a series of home games.

In this match Napoli is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Benevento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie A
18.10.20	Roma - Benevento	5:2 ✺
04.10.20	Benevento - Bologna	1:0 ✺
30.09.20	Benevento - Inter Milan	2:5 ✺
26.09.20	Sampdoria - Benevento	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.09.20	Lazio - Benevento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLWT
- SSC Napoli
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Napoli - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.20	Napoli - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
27.09.20	Napoli - Genoa	6:0 ✺
20.09.20	Parma - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.09.20	Sporting Lisbon - Napoli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.19	Napoli - Benevento	1:2
Italian Serie A
04.02.18	Benevento - Napoli	0:2
17.09.17	Napoli - Benevento	6:0

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