Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 14

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Calcio


	Benevento		Monopoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.41	4.15	7.3
	1.39	4.15	9.63
	1.68	3.56	5.00	Watch
	1.38	3.85	8.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	3.93 ↑ (3.38)	7.61 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benevento
63.9%

Draw
23.8%

Monopoli
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.1%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monopoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monopoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Benevento - Monopoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Benevento will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 77. Pierozzi E. 8. Maita M. (C) 4. Prisco A. 31. Ricci G. 11. Lamesta D. 32. Mignani G. 10. Manconi J.	22. Piana E. (G) 77. Viteritti O. 6. Miceli M. 55. Piccinini S. 16. Valenti B. 21. Scipioni E. 37. Bordo L. 19. Calcagni R. 99. Imputato A. 9. Longo S. 17. Tirelli M.
Substitutes
19. Borghini D. 29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 42. D'Alessio L. (G) 28. Del Gaudio M. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 2. Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 3. Sena F. 18. Simonetti P. 38. Talia A. 37. Tsingaras A. 93. Tumminello M. 6. Viscardi A.	1. Albertazzi M. (G) 5. Angileri A. 4. Bizzotto N. 20. Cascella R. 24. Castiglione I. 3. Di Santo E. 11. Fall M. 15. Greco J. 31. Oyewale S. 34. Ronco D. 33. Rossi D. 80. Silvestris E. (G) 10. Volpe G. 45. Yeboah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lamesta D. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Ricci G. ⚽,
29', Ceresoli A. 🟨,
37', Miceli M. 🟨,
39', Bordo L. 🟨,
43', Piccinini S. 🟨,
45', Lamesta D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tirelli M. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
46', Scipioni E. ↓, Oyewale S. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Prisco A. ⚽,
61', Ceresoli A. ↓, Borghini D. ↑,
68', Bordo L. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
68', Longo S. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
71', Lamesta D. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
71', Mignani G. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
77', Prisco A. ↓, Talia A. ↑,
77', Ricci G. ↓, Simonetti P. ↑,
82', Piccinini S. ↓, Ronco D. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Ronco D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 1.

In recent matches, Benevento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monopoli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Benevento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benevento is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Benevento - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.21%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
09.11.25	Foggia - Benevento	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Benevento - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Giugliano - Benevento	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Catania - Benevento	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Benevento - Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLW
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
09.11.25	Monopoli - Casertana	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Casarano - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Monopoli - Potenza	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Monopoli - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Crotone - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.02.25	Benevento - Monopoli	0:0
26.09.24	Monopoli - Benevento	1:0
23.03.24	Benevento - Monopoli	0:1
19.11.23	Monopoli - Benevento	3:0
21.02.16	Monopoli - Benevento	2:3
11.10.15	Benevento - Monopoli	2:1

Upcoming Matches