Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno


	Benevento		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	5.5	11
	1.31	5.10	8.57	Watch
	1.2	5.1	14	Watch
	1.22	5.66	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	5.34 ↑ (4.88)	11.39 ↑ (7.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
74.6%

Draw
17.3%

Sorrento
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

18.9%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

18.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Benevento - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 19. Borghini D. 24. Pierozzi E. 8. Maita M. (C) 5. Mehic D. 20. Ceresoli A. 10. Manconi J. 11. Lamesta D. 32. Mignani G.	22. Harrasser S. (G) 6. Fusco F. 32. Paglino S. 15. Solcia D. 33. Carillo L. 21. Matera A. 23. Cangianiello S. 3. Crecco L. 7. D'Ursi E. 4. Potenza A. 9. Plescia V.
Substitutes
7. Carfora L. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 4. Prisco A. 31. Ricci G. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 37. Tsingaras A. 93. Tumminello M. 6. Viscardi A.	10. Bolsius D. 46. Colombini L. 8. Cuccurullo M. 1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 11. Esposito M. 2. Piras M. 17. Riccardi P. 19. Russo D. 90. Sabbatani A. 29. Santini C. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Ceresoli A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Manconi J. ⚽,
40', Fusco F. ↓, Colombini L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Potenza A. ↓, Cuccurullo M. ↑,
64', Lamesta D. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
64', Mignani G. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
67', Crecco L. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
67', Matera A. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
70', 🟨,
70', Ceresoli A. 🟨,
76', Manconi J. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
83', Carillo L. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
89', Mehic D. ↓, Tsingaras A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, D'Ursi E. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 13).

In recent matches, Benevento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sorrento is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benevento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sorrento has had a series of home games.

In this match, Benevento is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Giugliano - Benevento	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Catania - Benevento	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Benevento - Potenza	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Benevento - Altamura	4:0 ✺
03.10.25	Latina - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWWL
- Sorrento FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sorrento - Trapani	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Sorrento - Latina	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Sorrento - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Siracusa - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sorrento - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
02.03.25	Benevento - Sorrento	1:1
19.10.24	Sorrento - Benevento	0:3
26.02.24	Benevento - Sorrento	4:0
21.10.23	Sorrento - Benevento	0:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
10.03.13	Benevento - Sorrento	1:0

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