Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Max


	Picerno		Benevento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.55	3.65	1.68
	5	3.72	1.68
	6.52	1.88	2.57	Watch
	4.88	3.52	1.64	Watch
	3.19	3.03	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.4)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	1.89 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
19.7%

Draw
30.1%

Benevento
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Picerno's form might have worsened.

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benevento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Picerno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Picerno - Benevento Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Benevento (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benevento will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Benevento (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Summa E. (G) 21. Salvo G. 4. Frison F. 23. Granata A. 63. Pistolesi F. 6. Marino A. 34. Maselli S. 7. Energe A. 11. Esposito E. (C) 70. Petito F. 90. Abreu L.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 19. Borghini D. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Ceresoli A. 8. Maita M. (C) 38. Talia A. 11. Lamesta D. 99. Della Morte M. 10. Manconi J. 9. Salvemini F.
Substitutes
30. Bianchi S. 33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 22. Cortese S. (G) 25. Djibril M. 12. Esposito A. (G) 8. Graziani V. 2. Perri M. 99. Pugliese S. 32. Ragone V. 19. Santaniello E. 9. Santarcangelo A. 14. Vimercati A.	29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 77. Pierozzi E. 4. Prisco A. 31. Ricci G. 2. Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 12. Suppa M. (G) 37. Tsingaras A. 93. Tumminello M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Maita M. ⚽,
35', Maselli S. 🟨,
43', Ceresoli A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Granata A. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Salvemini F. ⚽,
55', Salvemini F. 🟨,
58', Maselli S. ↓, Bianchi S. ↑,
58', Petito F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
60', Ceresoli A. ↓, Pierozzi E. ↑,
60', Lamesta D. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Granata A. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Energe A. ⚽,
76', Manconi J. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
76', Talia A. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
81', Mehic D. 🟨,
82', Abreu L. ↓, Pugliese S. ↑,
85', Della Morte M. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
90', Marino A. 🟨,
90+4', Energe A. ↓, Perri M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Picerno have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Benevento is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Benevento is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Picerno - Casarano	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Latina - Picerno	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Picerno - Giugliano	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTT
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.25	Benevento - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Siracusa - Benevento	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Casarano - Benevento	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Benevento - Casertana	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Crotone - Benevento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.03.25	Benevento - Picerno	0:0
09.11.24	Picerno - Benevento	1:0
18.02.24	Picerno - Benevento	1:2
15.10.23	Benevento - Picerno	2:2

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