Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	CMore
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Benfica		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	1.11	9	21	Watch
	1.12	9.5	19.5
	1.1	9	21	Watch
	1.11	8.4	19
	1.12	9.93	26.3
	1.1	8.5	23	Watch
	1.1	9.4	20.5	Watch
	1.12	9.2	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.12)	9.12 ↑ (7.52)	21.29 ↑ (19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
85.2%

Draw
10.4%

Marítimo
4.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.7%

12.4%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	13.9%	19.4%

Benfica - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 24 - 66.7%). Marítimo will win (votes: 7 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 51.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Benfica has the most likely position - 1 (47.85%), has project points - 78, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (88%), has a chance of win league (48%).

Marítimo has the most likely position - 18 (26.48%), has project points - 29, has currently - 0, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 53, importance 60, match rating 57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 4.

Benfica in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Marítimo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Benfica is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Joao Victor (Ankle Injury) Lucas Verissimo (Knee Injury) Morato (Injury) Tavares T. (Knee Injury)

Last 25 head-to-head matches Benfica won 21 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 78-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 57-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
UEFA Champions League
14.09.22	Juventus - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.09.22	Famalicão - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.09.22	Benfica - Maccabi Haifa	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.09.22	Benfica - Vizela	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	Benfica - Paços de Ferreira	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
11.09.22	Marítimo - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Santa Clara - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Marítimo - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Braga - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
15.08.22	Marítimo - Chaves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
30.04.22	Marítimo - Benfica	0:1
19.12.21	Benfica - Marítimo	7:1
05.04.21	Benfica - Marítimo	1:0
30.11.20	Marítimo - Benfica	1:2
29.06.20	Marítimo - Benfica	2:0
30.11.19	Benfica - Marítimo	4:0
22.04.19	Benfica - Marítimo	6:0

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