Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5


	Santa Clara		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	2.1	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.24	3.26	3.57
	2.24	3.26	3.57
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.12	3.26	3.32	Watch
	2.13	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.04)	3.21 ↓ (3.35)	3.31 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
43.1%

Draw
28.9%

Marítimo
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Santa Clara - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Marítimo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (G) 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 23. Lima S. 2. Diogo Calila 20. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 16. Henrique P. (C) 19. Almeida B. 99. Rafael Martins 49. Gabriel Silva	27. Abedzadeh A. (G) 2. Igor Juliao 5. Zainadine J. (C) 25. Rene 45. Fabio China 6. Mendes D. 23. Xadas 16. Euller 80. Silva M. 11. Silva L. 79. Bica
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 9. Joao Marcos 77. Klismahn G. 42. Lucas Soares 32. MT 10. Ricardinho 70. Vinicius Lopes	70. Cann F. 13. Collard D. 21. Domingos T. 26. Francoise N. 20. Gomes B. 99. Platiny 1. Samu (G) 8. Val Soares 94. Vitor Costa
Coaches
Pires L.	Tulipa

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 1.

Santa Clara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marítimo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marítimo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Clara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Elvas - Santa Clara	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Nacional - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Santa Clara - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTT
- CS Marítimo
Taça de Portugal
25.11.23	Canelas - Marítimo	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.11.23	Marítimo - Torreense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Leixões - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Leiria - Marítimo	4:3 ✺
28.10.23	Marítimo - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
25.02.23	Marítimo - Santa Clara	3:1
04.09.22	Santa Clara - Marítimo	2:1
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Marítimo - Santa Clara	1:0
Liga Portugal
23.04.22	Santa Clara - Marítimo	2:2
11.12.21	Marítimo - Santa Clara	4:1
08.02.21	Marítimo - Santa Clara	1:2
20.09.20	Santa Clara - Marítimo	2:0

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