Match Info
Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finalsDate: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves) 🌤️ ...
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Chaves |
|
Os Marialvas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.30 |
4.33 |
8.50 |
|
 |
1.30 |
4.40 |
9.50 |
|
 |
1.40 |
4.30 |
6.00 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.35 |
8.55 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4.44 |
9 |
|
 |
1.29 |
4.25 |
8.45 |
|
 |
1.33 |
4.59 |
9.00 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.60 |
10.00 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 ↓ (1.49) |
4.41 ↑ (4.08) |
8.63 ↑ (5.44) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chaves 68.8% | Draw 20.7% | Os Marialvas 10.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaves's performance.Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Os Marialvas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+5%)Chaves - Os Marialvas Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.25 - Chaves (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
88. Gudzulic M. (G)
| |
14. Araujo N.
| |
7. Esajas R.
| |
80. Fofana M.
| |
19. Garcia G.
| |
23. Leo Alaba
| |
9. Marcos Andre
| |
17. Roberto
| |
3. Romero A.
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33. Simoes T.
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42. Tavares A.
| |
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 🟨,
- 12', 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Roberto (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', 🟨,
- 25', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 70', 2 - 1, Garcia G. ⚽,
- 77', 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Chaves has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Marialvas is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Chaves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. Chaves holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers. No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;