The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica B 52.6%
Draw 26.4%
Paços de Ferreira 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
25.4%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
26.8%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Benfica B - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Ferreira D. (G) 85. Ferreira M. 55. Fonseca J. 64. Oliveira G. 71. Santos L. 88. Freitas T. 68. Veloso J. 86. Prioste D. (C) 67. Rego R. 39. Araujo H. 90. Lima I.
28. Marafona (G) 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 4. Kauan 21. Anilson 6. Joao Caiado 88. Francisco Ramos 5. Sousa A. 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J. 30. Costinha
Substitutes
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 83. Coletta F. 87. Edokpolor P. 77. Moreira G. 69. Ndembi M. 79. Pinto K. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 74. Tome O. 96. Trevisan J.
2. Cardoso G. 26. Cunha N. 7. Diego Fernandes 33. Fernandinho 19. Gomes F. 12. Jeimes (G) 10. Matheus Martins 22. Mota 36. Silva V.
Coaches
Verissimo N.
Candido F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Joao Caiado ↓, Gomes F. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Prioste D. ⚽, Freitas T. (A),
32', Rego R. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Fonseca J. ⚽, Prioste D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Anilson ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Fernandinho ⚽,
63', Santos L. 🟨,
64', Freitas T. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
64', Araujo H. ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
70', Ferreira T. 🟨,
71', Veloso J. ↓, Coletta F. ↑,
72', Rego R. ↓, Pinto K. ↑,
77', Lima I. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
79', Fernandinho 🟨,
81', Lumungo R. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
81', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
86', Costinha ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
89', Victor J. 🟨,
90+2', Moreira G. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 1.
Benfica B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Paços de Ferreira has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Paços de Ferreira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Benfica B is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica B won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).