Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	RTP 1, RTPi, RTP International, Sport TV2
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Meridiano


	Paços de Ferreira		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	12	9	1.13
	20	8.3	1.11
	15.93	8.19	1.13
	12.82	6.29	1.20	Watch
	19	7.3	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.95 ↑ (10.2)	7.82 ↑ (5)	1.14 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
5.9%

Draw
12%

Sporting Lisbon
82.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.1%

18.6%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jeimes (G) 23. Ferreira T. 2. Cardoso G. 77. Rafael 21. Anilson 6. Joao Caiado 88. Francisco Ramos 15. Dias L. 90. Lumungo R. 9. Victor J. 30. Costinha	12. Virginia J. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 72. Quaresma E. 26. Diomande O. 91. Mangas R. 42. Hjulmand M. 5. Morita H. 7. Quenda G. 89. Ioannidis F. 8. Goncalves P. 27. Alisson Santos
Substitutes
26. Cunha N. 3. Diegao . Gomes F. 28. Marafona (G) 10. Matheus Martins 22. Mota 19. Nito 36. Silva V. 5. Sousa A.	10. Catamo G. 6. Debast Z. 22. Fresneda I. 14. Kochorashvili G. 2. Matheus Reis 1. Silva R. (G) 52. Simoes J. 97. Suarez L. 17. Trincao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Lumungo R. ⚽, Victor J. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Goncalves P. ⚽, Ioannidis F. (A),
26', Anilson 🟨,
45+1', Morita H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Victor J. ⚽, Lumungo R. (A),
58', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
58', Morita H. ↓, Trincao ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Ioannidis F. ⚽, Quenda G. (A),
62', Victor J. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
62', Joao Caiado ↓, Gomes F. ↑,
73', Quaresma E. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
73', Mangas R. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
77', Diomande O. 🟨,
79', Alisson Santos ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
79', Costinha ↓, Silva V. ↑,
88', Nito 🟨,
90+5', Francisco Ramos ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Diomande O. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
98', Lumungo R. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
102', Goncalves P. 🟨,
104', 2 - 3, Ferreira T. (Own goal),
115', Rafael 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0.

Recent performances by Paços de Ferreira have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 10:46. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.6:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Paços de Ferreira - Porto B	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTLT
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
05.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Napoli - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.09.25	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Kairat	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
07.05.23	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon	0:4
29.12.22	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	3:0
03.04.22	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
07.11.21	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon	0:2
15.02.21	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
Taça de Portugal
11.12.20	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	3:0
Liga Portugal
27.09.20	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon	0:2

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