Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Torres M. (Por)


	Benfica B		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.25	3.25	2.2
	3.49	3.32	2.25
	3.49	3.32	2.24
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.42	3.16	2.19
	3.2	3.1	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.88)	3.18 ↑ (3.18)	2.17 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
27.9%

Draw
29.2%

Santa Clara
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

31.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Clara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Benfica B - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gomes A. (G) 82. Spencer D. 76. Gustavo Marques 81. Bajrami A. (C) 48. Rodrigues R. 80. Santos P. 60. Felix N. 86. Prioste D. 25. Prestianni G. 89. Varela G. 52. Pereira H.	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 23. Lima S. 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 42. Lucas Soares 8. Ferreira P. 77. Klismahn G. 16. Henrique P. (C) 10. Ricardinho 30. Safira 49. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
88. Caue 79. Felix H. 74. Jevsenak Z. 62. Lacroix L. 83. Luis R. 84. Rego J. 77. Sousa G. 92. Souza P. (G) 71. Tome J.	20. Adriano Firmino 19. Almeida B. 74. Diaz M. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 32. MT 99. Rafael Martins 5. Rafael Santos 21. Semedo Y. 70. Vinicius Lopes
Coaches
Verissimo N.	Matos V.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 1.

Recent matches Benfica B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Clara is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Clara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santa Clara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
02.03.24	Feirense - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Benfica B - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Torreense - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
10.02.24	Benfica B - Leixões	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Marítimo - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTL
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
04.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.02.24	Santa Clara - Porto	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.24	Santa Clara - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Penafiel - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
12.02.24	Santa Clara - Feirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.23	Santa Clara - Benfica B	1:1
31.03.18	Santa Clara - Benfica B	3:2
01.11.17	Benfica B - Santa Clara	1:3
11.03.17	Santa Clara - Benfica B	2:1
02.10.16	Benfica B - Santa Clara	3:1
02.04.16	Benfica B - Santa Clara	0:0
08.11.15	Santa Clara - Benfica B	2:0

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