Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Penafiel		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	4	3	1.95
	3.6	2.95	1.98
	3.75	3.1	2	Watch
	3.85	3.05	2.06
	4.12	3.18	2.1
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.91	3.02	2.02
	3.75	3.05	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
24%

Draw
30.2%

Santa Clara
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

31.5%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

31.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Penafiel - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva P. (G) 4. Miguel J. (C) 44. Pereira R. 26. Brito D. 35. Cardoso F. 8. Reko 21. Batista D. 20. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 15. Silva J. 75. Ribeiro R. 7. Firmino H.	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 23. Lima S. 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 42. Lucas Soares 8. Ferreira P. 77. Klismahn G. 16. Henrique P. (C) 10. Ricardinho 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
11. Adilio 31. Balde M. (G) 19. Chico Teixeira 27. Freitas R. 68. Maga 5. Pereira B. 30. Silva A. 9. Suker H. 99. Vieira P.	19. Almeida B. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 49. Gabriel Silva 32. MT 99. Rafael Martins 5. Rafael Santos 21. Semedo Y. 6. Velazquez S.
Coaches
Cristovao H.	Matos V.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 1.

Recent matches Penafiel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Clara is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Penafiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Clara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
10.02.24	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Penafiel - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Penafiel - Feirense	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Leixões - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
15.01.24	Torreense - Penafiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWL
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
12.02.24	Santa Clara - Feirense	2:1 ✺
02.02.24	Vilaverdense - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Santa Clara - Leixões	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Torreense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.23	Santa Clara - Penafiel	0:0
Club Friendly
28.08.20	Penafiel - Santa Clara	0:4
16.07.19	Penafiel - Santa Clara	2:2
15.07.18	Santa Clara - Penafiel	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.18	Penafiel - Santa Clara	3:0
29.10.17	Santa Clara - Penafiel	1:2
Club Friendly
05.07.17	Penafiel - Santa Clara	1:0

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