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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 52.9%
Draw 25.6%
Benfica B 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23.9%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
23.3%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
21.4%
14.3%
Marítimo - Benfica B Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Benfica B will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - draw (2.00) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Samu (G) 6. Andrade R. 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 14. Raphael Guzzo 18. Danilovic V. 21. Bouzaidi S. 28. Carlos Daniel 10. Tejon M. 3. Butzke A.
50. Ferreira D. (G) 71. Santos L. 66. Wynder J. 64. Oliveira G. 62. Neto J. 86. Prioste D. (C) 85. Ferreira M. 88. Freitas T. 90. Lima I. 91. Silva F. 74. Tome O.
Substitutes
90. Borukov P. 8. Cruz M. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 7. Pena Zauner E. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 79. Tavares M.
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 87. Edokpolor P. 79. Felix H. 73. Figueiredo M. 77. Moreira G. 89. Parente T. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 96. Trevisan J.
Coaches
Moita M.
Verissimo N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Tejon M. ⚽, Bouzaidi S. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Wynder J. ⚽, Prioste D. (A),
43', Neto J. 🟨,
45', Freitas T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Tome O. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
59', Silva F. ↓, Trevisan J. ↑,
60', Freitas T. ↓, Figueiredo M. ↑,
68', Neto J. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
73', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
73', Danilovic V. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
75', Figueiredo M. 🟨,
83', Prioste D. 🟨,
84', Butzke A. 🟥,
85', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,
86', Tejon M. ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
87', Trevisan J. 🟨,
88', Santos L. ↓, Pinto K. ↑,
90+1', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
90+2', Carlos Daniel ↓, Pena Zauner E. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 15).
Marítimo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Benfica B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Marítimo is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
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Samu (G) 
Madsen N. 
Danilovic V. 
Bouzaidi S. 
Tejon M. 
Wynder J. 
Borukov P. 
Ibrahima 
Pena Zauner E. 
de Sousa T. 
Edokpolor P. 
Trevisan J. 
