Match Info

Liga Next Gen U23 - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Benfica U23		Moreirense U23

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.30	2.55
	2.33	3.45	2.48
	2.45	4.00	2.50
	2.43	3.94	2.48	Watch
	2.40	3.95	2.35
	2.44	3.74	2.54	Watch
	2.43	3.35	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.88)	3.68 ↑ (3.45)	2.48 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica U23
38.2%

Draw
24.9%

Moreirense U23
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica U23's form might have worsened.

Moreirense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreirense U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica U23 than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense U23 than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreirense U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benfica U23 - Moreirense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 9th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).

Benfica U23 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Moreirense U23 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Benfica U23 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Moreirense U23	9	2	6	1	18:10	8	12
9	Benfica U23	9	3	2	4	12:13	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica U23 - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 47.67%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
13.10.26	Penafiel U23 - Benfica U23	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Maritimo U23 - Benfica U23	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Benfica U23 - Torreense U23	3:0 ✺
14.09.26	Leiria U23 - Benfica U23	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Benfica U23 - Vizela U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Moreirense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
13.10.26	Moreirense U23 - Santa Clara U23	7:0 ✺
06.10.26	Rio Ave U23 - Moreirense U23	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Moreirense U23	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Moreirense U23 - Braga U23	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Académico de Viseu U23 - Moreirense U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTTTW

Benfica U23 - Moreirense U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide