Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday


	Berga		Karlstad

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.53
	4.5	4.2	1.55
	4.8	4.3	1.52
	4.6	4.3	1.52
	4.73	4.52	1.55
	5	4.33	1.52
	4.28	4.1	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.5)	4.28 ↑ (4.19)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
19.6%

Draw
21.3%

Karlstad
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

21.7%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

17.4%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Berga - Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Karlstad is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.20	Gefle - Berga	2:1 ✺
12.08.20	Berga - Sollentuna	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Berga - Karlslund	3:2 ✺
19.07.20	Luleå - Berga	1:0 ✺
15.07.20	Berga - Nyköping	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWLL
- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.20	Karlstad - Nyköping	1:1 ✺
12.08.20	Brommapojkarna - Karlstad	0:1 ✺
08.08.20	Karlstad - Gefle	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
31.07.20	Forward - Karlstad	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.07.20	Nyköping - Karlstad	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLLL

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