Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Arosa

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.06	2.86	3.71
	2.06	2.86	3.71
	2.03	2.99	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	3.66 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
44.3%

Draw
31%

Arosa
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

30.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Bergantiños will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
31.03.24	Sarriana - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Silva SD - Bergantiños	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Bergantiños - Betanzos	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Bergantiños - Estradense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Polvorín - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWT
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
31.03.24	Paiosaco - Arosa	0:3 ✺
28.03.24	Betanzos - Arosa	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Arosa - Sarriana	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Arosa - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Estradense - Arosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.11.23	Arosa - Bergantiños	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.05.22	Arosa - Bergantiños	1:1
08.01.22	Bergantiños - Arosa	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.04.21	Arosa - Bergantiños	3:1
22.12.19	Bergantiños - Arosa	1:3
10.03.19	Bergantiños - Arosa	2:4
14.10.18	Arosa - Bergantiños	0:2

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