Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Campo Municipal de As Eiroas (Carballo)


	Bergantiños		Marbella

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.35
	3	3.3	2.37
	2.95	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.71	3.15	2.29
	2.98	3.18	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.07	3.26	2.38
	2.95	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.06)	3.21 ↓ (3.27)	2.33 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
31.4%

Draw
28.8%

Marbella
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

27.9%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bergantiños - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Stopajnik T. (G) 12. Bastos A. 5. Astray I. 4. Fito 23. Sonha T. 21. Ramos A. 14. Uzal D. 10. Remeseiro M. 17. Ouhdadi O. 7. Calvo P. 16. Antanon L.	1. Lejarraga A. (G) 10. Punal A. 4. Carrasco J. (C) 14. Olguin M. 12. Assi J. 6. Duarte J. 11. Soto A. 19. Ohemeng E. 16. Hanza D. 9. Du Yuezheng 17. Alayeto I.
Substitutes
19. Alex Pachon 11. Alvarez D. 1. Cotelo D. (G) 3. Curras J. 26. Keita L. C. 15. Molina C. 9. Musy M. 6. Nunez M. 20. Pena W. 22. Rodriguez D. 18. Trigo Martinez P.	5. Acosta L. 8. Alamo J. 2. Alvarez J. 7. Callejon J. 15. Diori Y. 3. Fornes G. 13. Martin D. (G) 21. Munoz P. 23. Pena M. 25. Solsky D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Hanza D. (Pen),
23', 0 - 2, Hanza D. ⚽,
26', Calvo P. 🟨,
26', Carrasco J. 🟨,
29', Bastos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ramos A. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
53', 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Bergantiños is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marbella is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	1:3 ✺
13.10.24	Bergantiños - Laredo	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Salamanca - Bergantiños	1:5 ✺
29.09.24	Bergantiños - Llanera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.24	Marbella - Intercity	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Real Murcia - Marbella	0:0 ✺
16.10.24	Antequera - Marbella	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Marbella - Sevilla B	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Alcoyano - Marbella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLWL

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