Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Paiosaco

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.52	3.74	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 (1.52)	3.67 ↓ (3.74)	5.58 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
59.3%

Draw
24.6%

Paiosaco
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

23.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Paiosaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).

Bergantiños is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Paiosaco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Bergantiños is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bergantiños to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.11.23	Arosa - Bergantiños	1:3 ✺
12.11.23	Bergantiños - Sarriana	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Betanzos - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Bergantiños - Silva SD	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Estradense - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWWT
- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.11.23	Paiosaco - Gran Peña	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Arosa - Paiosaco	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Paiosaco - Rápido de Bouzas	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Paiosaco - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Betanzos - Paiosaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.10.20	Paiosaco - Bergantiños	1:1
14.12.19	Paiosaco - Bergantiños	0:0
10.02.19	Bergantiños - Paiosaco	1:0

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