Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Bergantiños		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.9	2.3
	2.85	2.95	2.48
	3.15	2.99	2.39
	3.13	2.94	2.35
	2.95	2.95	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)	2.95 ↑ (2.7)	2.38 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
30.6%

Draw
31%

Palencia CA
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

35.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palencia CA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Bergantiños - Palencia CA Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bergantiños will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Palencia CA will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Bergantiños has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Palencia CA is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Palencia CA to win the game is with odds 2.62.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.02.23	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Bergantiños - Arenteiro	2:3 ✺
22.01.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Coruxo - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.02.23	Palencia CA - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Polvorín - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Palencia CA - Zamora	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Langreo - Palencia CA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.09.22	Palencia CA - Bergantiños	2:1
13.03.22	Palencia CA - Bergantiños	3:5
23.10.21	Bergantiños - Palencia CA	1:0

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