Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.2	1.57
	4.5	4.33	1.55
	4.26	4.49	1.54
	4.27	4.49	1.54
	4.7	4.1	1.55
	4.5	4.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.86)	4.32 ↓ (4.33)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
20.6%

Draw
20.9%

AFC Telford United
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

21%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

20.3%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Berkhamsted - AFC Telford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Berkhamsted is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Telford is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Telford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
07.11.23	Needham Market - Berkhamsted	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Barwell - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Berkhamsted - Kettering Town	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Berkhamsted - Stratford Town	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Coalville Town - Berkhamsted	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTL
- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
04.11.23	AFC Telford United - Long Eaton United	1:0 ✺
31.10.23	Kettering Town - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Leamington - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	AFC Telford United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	AFC Telford United - Stratford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTWW

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