Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.6	1.39
	6.5	4.5	1.38
	5.17	5.66	1.43
	6.71	4.6	1.37
	6.5	4.5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.08 ↓ (7.6)	4.77 ↓ (5.5)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
15.1%

Draw
19.2%

Coalville Town
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

16.8%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

16.4%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Coalville Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coalville Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coalville Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Berkhamsted has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Coalville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berkhamsted could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coalville is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berkhamsted won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
17.02.24	Redditch United - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Berkhamsted - Needham Market	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Alvechurch - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Berkhamsted - Royston Town	0:3 ✺
13.01.24	Berkhamsted - Mickleover Sports	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLL
- Coalville Town
English FA Trophy
20.02.24	Bishops Stortford - Coalville Town	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
17.02.24	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Coalville Town - Leiston	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Stamford - Coalville Town	3:1 ✺
23.01.24	AFC Telford United - Coalville Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.10.23	Coalville Town - Berkhamsted	9:0

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