Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Royston Town

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.73
	4	3.75	1.72
	3.75	3.99	1.81
	4.02	3.66	1.74
	4	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.07)	3.75 ↑ (3.54)	1.74 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
23.4%

Draw
24.3%

Royston Town
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

25.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berkhamsted's form might have worsened.

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Royston Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berkhamsted, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Royston Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Berkhamsted is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Royston is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Royston will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berkhamsted won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
13.01.24	Berkhamsted - Mickleover Sports	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Berkhamsted - Leamington	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Hitchin Town - Berkhamsted	1:3 ✺
26.12.23	Berkhamsted - Sudbury Town	0:4 ✺
23.12.23	Stourbridge - Berkhamsted	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLWLL
- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
13.01.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Royston Town	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Royston Town - Sudbury Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Leiston - Royston Town	2:3 ✺
26.12.23	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Coalville Town - Royston Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.09.23	Royston Town - Berkhamsted	2:2

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