Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.57	4.2	4.5
	1.63	4.54	4.25
	1.58	4.1	4.55
	1.57	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.02)	4.21 ↑ (3.6)	4.4 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
57.6%

Draw
21.7%

Leiston
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

25.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coalville Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coalville won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leiston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Coalville have a series of guest games.

Coalville will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Coalville won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
27.01.24	Stamford - Coalville Town	3:1 ✺
23.01.24	AFC Telford United - Coalville Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.01.24	Coalville Town - Walsall Wood	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
06.01.24	Redditch United - Coalville Town	3:4 ✺
26.12.23	Barwell - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWWT
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
30.01.24	Leiston - Long Eaton United	4:1 ✺
27.01.24	Leiston - Sudbury Town	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	AFC Telford United - Leiston	0:0 ✺
06.01.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	5:0 ✺
01.01.24	Leiston - Royston Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.09.23	Leiston - Coalville Town	1:2
07.03.23	Leiston - Coalville Town	1:0
18.02.23	Coalville Town - Leiston	0:0
26.03.22	Leiston - Coalville Town	0:3
20.11.21	Coalville Town - Leiston	4:1
26.09.20	Coalville Town - Leiston	4:1
04.01.20	Coalville Town - Leiston	1:1

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