Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 32

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.6	4	4.5
	1.61	4.49	4.39
	1.58	4	4.7
	1.6	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.02)	4.1 ↑ (3.6)	4.5 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
57.4%

Draw
22.3%

Hitchin Town
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hitchin Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coalville Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hitchin Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coalville won 3.

Recent matches Coalville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hitchin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Coalville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coalville is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Coalville won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
03.02.24	Coalville Town - Leiston	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Stamford - Coalville Town	3:1 ✺
23.01.24	AFC Telford United - Coalville Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.01.24	Coalville Town - Walsall Wood	2:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
06.01.24	Redditch United - Coalville Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWW
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
10.02.24	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	3:4 ✺
03.02.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
15.01.24	Redditch United - Hitchin Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
14.10.23	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	4:3
14.02.23	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	5:1
14.11.22	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	2:2
05.02.22	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	2:1
11.10.21	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	0:2
07.03.20	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	1:2
21.10.19	Hitchin Town - Coalville Town	1:0

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