Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Alvechurch		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.55	4	5
	1.56	4.33	4.77
	1.53	3.98	5.24
	1.55	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	4.04 ↑ (4)	4.96 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvechurch
59.1%

Draw
22.6%

Berkhamsted
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Alvechurch is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berkhamsted is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alvechurch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Berkhamsted have a series of home games.

In this match Alvechurch is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvechurch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
30.01.24	Alvechurch - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Leamington - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTLWW
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
27.01.24	Berkhamsted - Royston Town	0:3 ✺
13.01.24	Berkhamsted - Mickleover Sports	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Berkhamsted - Leamington	0:2 ✺
30.12.23	Hitchin Town - Berkhamsted	1:3 ✺
26.12.23	Berkhamsted - Sudbury Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.09.23	Berkhamsted - Alvechurch	2:2

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