Match Info

FA Trophy - Qualification - Final

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Evesham United		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.45
	2.61	3.6	2.25
	2.47	3.38	2.45
	2.09	3.38	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.09)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	2.51 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
37.6%

Draw
26.5%

Ilkeston
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.6%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evesham United's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Evesham United - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Evesham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ilkeston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ilkeston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Evesham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English FA Cup
27.09.25	AFC Telford United - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.09.25	Bracknell Town - Evesham United	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Wimborne Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Evesham United - Racing Club Warwick	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Evesham United - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTWW
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Ilkeston - Workington	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Leek Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Lancaster City - Ilkeston	3:1 ✺
09.09.25	Hednesford Town - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL

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