Match Info

efbet League - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Beroe (Stara Zagora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Slovenia	SportKlub 3


	Beroe Stara Zagora		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.27	Watch
	6.5	4.1	1.44
	8.8	4.95	1.29	Watch
	11.1	5.44	1.27
	10.45	5.18	1.29	Watch
	9	4.8	1.29
	9.95	5.05	1.29	Watch
	9.5	5.33	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.23 ↑ (6.6)	5.01 ↑ (4.38)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beroe Stara Zagora
10.1%

Draw
18.6%

Ludogorets Razgrad
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

21.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

20.7%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets Razgrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	26.3%	63.2%

Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Ludogorets (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Quintero V. (G) 4. Costantini F. 3. Salomoni J. (C) 27. Dabo A. 7. Pineda J. 24. Gavrilov S. 18. Rusenov S. 23. Sonha T. 17. Dual W. 11. Ferrer I. 10. Nene	39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 55. Nachmias I. 4. Almeida D. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 30. Pedro Naressi 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 14. Stanic P. 11. Caio Vidal 9. Duah K.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon F. 5. Caio Lopes 22. Georgiev M. 13. Georgiev S. (G) 25. Johny 2. Longinotti V. 21. Salido Tajero A. 9. Valbuena Y. 16. Yovkov S.	29. Bile E. 18. Chochev I. 99. Ivanov S. 26. Kaloc F. 10. Machado M. 1. Padt S. (G) 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 37. Tekpetey B.
Coaches
Uribe J.	Hogmo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
39', Ferrer I. 🟨,
39', Dual W. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Stanic P. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, Duah K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Caio Vidal 🟨,
53', 0 - 3, Duah K. ⚽,
62', Dual W. ↓, Salido Tajero A. ↑,
62', Dabo A. ↓, Johny ↑,
63', Pedro Naressi ↓, Kaloc F. ↑,
63', Duah K. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
75', Rusenov S. ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
75', Quintero V. ↓, Georgiev S. ↑,
76', Johny 🟨,
81', Nedyalkov A. ↓, Shishkov S. ↑,
81', Caio Vidal ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
85', Nene ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
88', Erick Marcus ↓, Tekpetey B. ↑,
88', 0 - 4, Tekpetey B. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ludogorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ludogorets is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 11:48. (average 0.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.7:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.12.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Septemvri Sofia	0:0 ✺
03.12.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Cherno More Varna	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLTL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Cup
15.12.25	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - PAOK	3:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.12.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
04.12.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.02.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1
25.08.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1
26.02.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2
27.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	5:0
03.05.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:1
17.10.22	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4
09.04.22	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1

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