Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín (Sevilla)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Betis		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4.8
	1.75	3.75	5	Watch
	1.76	3.85	5.19
	1.74	3.81	5.19
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.79	3.95	4.93	Watch
	1.76	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.63)	3.81 ↓ (4.14)	5.08 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Betis
55.7%

Draw
25.3%

Granada
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	9.1%	12.5%

Betis - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: Betis will win (69 of 88 users predict this - 78.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.81% – 87.01%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Silva R. (G) 24. Ruibal A. 6. Pezzella G. 19. Sokratis 20. Abner 21. Roca M. 18. Guardado A. (C) 11. Luiz Henrique 22. Isco 10. Perez A. 12. Willian Jose	25. Batalla A. (G) 2. Bruno Mendez 22. Piatkowski K. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 26. Zaragoza B. 20. Ruiz S. 24. Villar G. 9. Callejon J. 11. Uzuni M. 7. Boye L.
Substitutes
27. Altimira S. 42. Busto P. 16. Cruz J. 38. Diao A. 8. Fekir N. 9. Iglesias B. 4. Johnny 33. Pleguezuelo X. 17. Rodri 30. Vieites F. (G) 34. Visus R.	8. Arezo M. 13. Ferreira A. (G) 23. Gumbau G. 6. Hongla M. 31. Lopez A. (G) 21. Melendo O. 18. Petrovic N. 10. Puertas A. 4. Rubio M. 28. Torrente R. 5. Vallejo J.
Coaches
Pellegrini M.	Medina A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Betis won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Betis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Betis is a favorite.

There will not play in Betis: Bartra M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carvalho W. (Muscle Injury) Ezzalzouli A. (National selection) Miranda J. (Calf Injury) Riad C. (National selection) Rodriguez G. (Ankle Injury) Sabaly Y. (National selection)

There will not play in Granada: Sanchez R. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Betis: Altimira S. (Muscle Injury) Bellerin H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Granada: Fernandez R. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Betis won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Betis won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Betis	2:1 ✺
21.12.23	Betis - Girona	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Real Sociedad - Betis	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Betis - Glasgow Rangers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Granada - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
19.12.23	Granada - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Granada	1:0 ✺
11.12.23	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Real Madrid - Granada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
28.09.23	Granada - Betis	1:1
15.05.22	Betis - Granada	2:0
13.09.21	Granada - Betis	1:2
10.05.21	Betis - Granada	2:1
20.12.20	Granada - Betis	2:0
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Betis - Granada	3:2
Spanish LaLiga
15.06.20	Betis - Granada	2:2

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