Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Granada		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.55
	2.9	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.49
	2.95	3.18	2.67
	2.8	3.2	2.45
	2.88	3.25	2.57	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.97)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)	2.57 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
33.3%

Draw
29.5%

Sevilla
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

26.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.5%	45.3%	30.2%

Granada - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 13 - 24.5%). Sevilla will win (votes: 16 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 45.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.9% – 58.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 12. Sanchez R. 14. Miquel I. 28. Torrente R. 15. Neva C. 24. Villar G. 23. Gumbau G. 20. Ruiz S. 10. Puertas A. (C) 26. Zaragoza B. 7. Boye L.	1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 6. Gudelj N. 4. Ramos S. (C) 27. Salas K. 26. Sanchez J. 21. Torres O. 24. Soumare B. 7. Suso 3. Pedrosa A. 5. Ocampos L. 15. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
35. Arbol F. (G) 9. Callejon J. 16. Diaz V. 19. Diedhiou F. 33. Fernandez A. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Manafa W. 21. Melendo O. 18. Petrovic N. 4. Rubio M. 11. Uzuni M. 17. Weissman S.	33. Arbol M. (G) 29. Benavides D. 28. Bueno M. 40. Capitas M. 31. Flores A. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 38. Hormigo D. 25. Januzaj A. 39. Lulo 23. Marcao 9. Mir R. 30. Sow I.
Coaches
Medina A.	Flores Q.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Sevilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Granada: Fernandez R. (Injury) Vallejo J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Diaz M. (Knee Injury) Fernando (Shoulder Injury) Lukebakio D. (Knee Injury) Navas J. (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Knee Injury) Rakitic I. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Acuna M. (Muscle Injury) Jordan J. (Thigh Injury) Lamela E. (Injury) Nyland O. (Muscle Injury)

Last 21 head-to-head matches Granada won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 20-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
16.12.23	Celta de Vigo - Granada	1:0 ✺
11.12.23	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Real Madrid - Granada	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Granada - Getafe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLT
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
16.12.23	Sevilla - Getafe	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.12.23	Lens - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.12.23	Mallorca - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Atlético Astorga - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.12.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.04.22	Sevilla - Granada	4:2
03.10.21	Granada - Sevilla	1:0
25.04.21	Sevilla - Granada	2:1
17.10.20	Granada - Sevilla	1:0
25.01.20	Sevilla - Granada	2:0
23.08.19	Granada - Sevilla	0:1
Club Friendly
09.08.19	Granada - Sevilla	2:1

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