Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Granada		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.9
	4	3.75	1.9	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.98
	4.17	3.69	1.93
	3.75	3.9	1.8
	11.25	4.8	1.34	Watch
	11.5	5.1	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (4.24)	4.02 ↑ (3.91)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
17.3%

Draw
25.2%

Athletic Bilbao
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

24.3%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

24.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	5.1%	91%

Granada - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.69% – 97.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 28. Torrente R. 20. Ruiz S. 14. Miquel I. 12. Sanchez R. 24. Villar G. 23. Gumbau G. 15. Neva C. (C) 26. Zaragoza B. 11. Uzuni M. 7. Boye L.	1. Simon U. (G) 18. de Marcos O. (C) 3. Vivian D. 4. Paredes A. 15. Lekue I. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 24. Prados Diaz B. 9. Williams I. 8. Sancet O. 11. Williams N. 12. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
9. Callejon J. 16. Diaz V. 19. Diedhiou F. 33. Fernandez A. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Manafa W. 21. Melendo O. 18. Petrovic N. 10. Puertas A. 4. Rubio M. 34. Tristan P. (G) 17. Weissman S.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 17. Berchiche Y. 7. Berenguer A. 19. Garcia de Albeniz I. 22. Garcia R. 30. Gomez U. 21. Herrera A. 31. Jauregizar M. 10. Muniain I. 23. Nolaskoain P. 33. Olabarrieta A. 20. Villalibre A.
Coaches
Medina A.	Valverde E.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 3.

Granada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Granada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Granada have a series of guest games.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

There will not play in Granada: Fernandez R. (Injury) Vallejo J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Groin Injury) Garcia D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Ares A. (Injury) Vesga M. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Granada won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.23	Real Madrid - Granada	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Granada - Getafe	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Valencia - Granada	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Arosa - Granada	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Cayón - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.23	Athletic Bilbao - Rayo Vallecano	4:0 ✺
27.11.23	Girona - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
10.11.23	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	4:3 ✺
05.11.23	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.05.22	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
26.11.21	Athletic Bilbao - Granada	2:2
07.03.21	Athletic Bilbao - Granada	2:1
12.09.20	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	2:0
19.07.20	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	4:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.03.20	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	2:1
12.02.20	Athletic Bilbao - Granada	1:0

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