Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Betis TV, FEF TV


	Betis B		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.75	3.2	4.1
	1.8	3.2	4.1
	1.84	3.31	4.55
	1.79	3.32	4.4	Watch
	1.78	3.44	4.35
	1.8	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.01)	3.3 ↑ (3.04)	4.28 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Betis B
50.9%

Draw
27.7%

Mérida AD
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betis B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Betis B's performance.

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mérida AD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis B than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Betis B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Betis B - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 34. Encuentra J. 25. Kohon R. 21. Zidane E. 38. Arenas M. 11. Faye S. 10. Reina C. 16. Guirao C. 8. Perez Guerrero D. 24. Joao Fersura 19. Ilahude D.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 4. Bonaque M. 22. Athuman I. 3. Jimenez N. 21. Beneit R. 28. del Cerro S. 11. Doncel C. 23. Busi 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J.
Substitutes
3. Alcazar 14. Ballero S. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 28. Cuevas M. 22. Diao U. 39. Esteban P. 30. Garcia G. (G) 32. Lopez P. 35. Masque O. 23. Sanca M.	7. Alvaro J. 12. Beer J. 18. Falcon E. 17. Ganet P. 26. Macia I. (G) 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 29. Piski J. 15. Prevedini M. 16. Sanchez E. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Eslava J. ⚽,
21', Faye S. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Eslava J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Encuentra J. ↓, Masque O. ↑,
53', del Cerro S. 🟨,
60', 0 - 3, Guilherme Fernandes (Own goal),
61', Pipe ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
61', Joao Fersura ↓, Martian ↑,
61', del Cerro S. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
66', Reina C. ↓, Esteban P. ↑,
66', Guirao C. ↓, Barea Fernandez I. ↑,
70', Jimenez N. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
70', Beltran L. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
72', 0 - 4, Alvaro J. ⚽,
74', Arenas M. ↓, Alcazar ↑,
76', Perez Guerrero D. 🟨,
80', Eslava J. ↓, Piski J. ↑,
84', Zidane E. 🟨,
90+2', Prevedini M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Betis B won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Betis B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Betis B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Betis B won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Betis B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Betis B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.25	Intercity - Betis B	1:1 ✺
17.01.25	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
12.01.25	Hércules - Betis B	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Betis B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.24	Betis B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.25	Ibiza - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Mérida AD - Marbella	4:2 ✺
10.01.25	Sevilla B - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Mérida AD - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.10.24	Mérida AD - Betis B	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Mérida AD - Betis B	3:0
02.08.23	Mérida AD - Betis B	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.03.18	Mérida AD - Betis B	3:1
15.10.17	Betis B - Mérida AD	0:0
10.01.16	Mérida AD - Betis B	0:1
22.08.15	Betis B - Mérida AD	0:1

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