Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Amazon Prime Video
Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.06	2.85	3.15
	2.11	3.15	3.38	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.15	3.02	3.49
	2.06	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)	3 ↓ (3.38)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
43.1%

Draw
29.9%

Alcoyano
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3%)

The ML Model estimate for Alcoyano aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 29. Rivas M. 14. Ramon J. 15. Ribes K. 22. Jimenez D. 8. Moran M. A. 6. Andres C. 23. Yusi 27. Fortuny P. 30. Garcia G. 9. Munoz V.	13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 2. Ferriz P. 4. Farru 3. Rodriguez A. 6. Garcia I. 8. Molina D. 10. Lara J. A. 23. Pastrana V. 7. Herrera C. 19. Losada M.
Substitutes
16. Antonio David 25. de Luis M. (G) 40. Diocou B. 39. Iglesias Lois B. 4. Pujol E. 37. Valdepenas V.	5. Albisua H. 14. Anton J. 11. Ferni 1. Garcia M. (G) 12. Granero B. 9. Niang M. 24. Qasmi Y. 22. Rojo J. 20. Undabarrena E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Molina D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Herrera C. ↓, Anton J. ↑,
46', Lara J. A. ↓, Ferni ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Munoz V. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Munoz V. ⚽,
56', Lopez S. ↓, Qasmi Y. ↑,
67', Moran M. A. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
70', Farru ↓, Granero B. ↑,
83', Fortuny P. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
83', Yusi ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
86', Molina D. ↓, Undabarrena E. ↑,
90', Munoz V. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
90', Iglesias Lois B. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
90+5', Pujol E. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.12.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	6:0 ✺
24.11.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWT
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.12.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Hércules - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	3:1
25.11.23	Alcoyano - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
17.04.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	1:2
22.01.22	Alcoyano - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1

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