Match Info

BELGIUM: Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Freethiel Stadion (Beveren)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Sporza


	Beveren		Genk

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.75	1.22
	8.75	6	1.23
	11	6.5	1.26
	9.72	6.1	1.22
	10.73	6.32	1.23
	10	6	1.2
	10	6.25	1.24	Watch
	11	6.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.09 ↑ (6.75)	6.18 ↑ (4.5)	1.23 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beveren
9.2%

Draw
15.1%

Genk
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.5%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

19.8%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beveren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Beveren - Genk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Deman M. (G) 4. Bateau S. 30. Corryn A. 20. Dassy D. 6. Dicke F. 32. Filipovic J. 21. Jans L. 5. Luiz E. 11. Michiwaki Y. 24. Moustapha H. I. 8. Servais M.	39. Penders M. (G) 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 21. Bangoura I. 46. Cuesta C. 17. Hrosovsky P. (C) 20. Karetsas K. 18. Kayembe J. 27. Nkuba K. 19. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 6. Smets M. 23. Steuckers J.
Substitutes
43. Coopman S. 18. Dewaele S. 77. Erturk H. 7. Kerrigan L. 1. Reus B. (G) 78. Van Hecke J. 15. Wuytens D.	99. Arokodare T. 90. Bonsu Baah C. 77. El Ouahdi Z. 8. Heynen B. 72. Ndenge Kongolo J. 34. Palacios A. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beveren won 0.

Beveren is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Genk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Beveren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Genk is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Beveren won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 19:46 (average 1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Beveren won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 3:15 (average 0.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Beveren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
26.10.24	Beveren - Anderlecht U23	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	RAAL La Louvière - Beveren	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Beveren - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Brugge U23 - Beveren	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Beveren - Seraing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.10.24	Gent - Genk	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Genk - Sint-Truidense	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Kortrijk - Genk	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Genk - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Genk - Dender EH	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.20	Genk - Beveren	1:1
03.10.20	Beveren - Genk	1:1
14.12.19	Genk - Beveren	4:1
17.08.19	Beveren - Genk	0:4
02.02.19	Beveren - Genk	1:2
26.08.18	Genk - Beveren	3:2
03.03.18	Beveren - Genk	0:1

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