The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genk 68.5%
Draw 19.1%
Dender EH 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.8%
16.5%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.4%
15.9%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
0%
15.4%
Genk - Dender EH Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Dender EH (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Genk will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 27. Nkuba K. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 19. Medina Y. 8. Heynen B. (C) 20. Karetsas K. 17. Hrosovsky P. 7. Steuckers J. 99. Erabi J. 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N.
30. Dietsch G. (G) 22. Fredrick B. 5. Marijnissen L. 21. Cools K. (C) 44. De Fougerolles L. 88. Ferraro F. 24. Viltard M. 16. Kvet R. 17. Mbamba N. 77. Nsimba B. 90. Berte M.
Substitutes
28. Brughmans L. (G) 10. Ito J. 18. Kayembe J. 44. Kongolo J. 29. Mirisola R. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y.
1. Fortin L. (G) 7. Goncalves B. 20. Hrncar D. 19. Kadiri J. A. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 11. Oratmangoen R. 18. Rodes N. 70. Sambu M. 9. Toshevski D.
Coaches
Fink T.
Milkon H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Nsimba B. ⚽,
13', Fredrick B. 🟨,
42', Nsimba B. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Heynen B. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
45+2', Viltard M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fredrick B. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
55', Viltard M. 🟨,
61', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
62', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
62', Karetsas K. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
63', Erabi J. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
63', Berte M. ↓, Toshevski D. ↑,
63', Nsimba B. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
67', Smets M. 🟨,
69', De Fougerolles L. ↓, Goncalves B. ↑,
72', Steuckers J. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
78', Kvet R. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Nkuba K. ⚽, Sor Y. (A),
90+1', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
90+2', Toshevski D. 🟥,
90+5', Sattlberger N. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Recent performances by Genk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dender EH is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Dender EH may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Genk is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Genk: Heymans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Lawal T.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Genk: El Ouahdi Z.
(Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Genk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
Belgium
Japan
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Van Crombrugge H. (G) 
Sadick M. 
Medina Y. 
Karetsas K. 
Hrosovsky P. 
Erabi J. 
Dietsch G. (G) 
Fredrick B. 
Marijnissen L. 
De Fougerolles L. 
Kvet R. 
Ito J. 
Kayembe J. 
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 
Palacios A. 
Sattlberger N. 
Oratmangoen R. 
Sambu M. 
Toshevski D. 
Fink T. 
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