Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	ESPN 1
Australia	03:15	ESPN
Belgium	18:15	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Canada	12:15	DAZN Canada
Denmark	18:15	Bold+
Greece	19:15	Nova Sports 5
Japan	01:15	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	18:15	Sporza
Slovakia	18:15	Arena sport 2
South Africa	18:15	SuperSport ESPN
Spain	18:15	Gol Stadium
Turkey	19:15	Exxen
Usa	12:15	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	16:15	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Kortrijk		Genk

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.53
	5.75	4.6	1.49	Watch
	6	4.68	1.5
	5.74	4.56	1.52
	5	4.2	1.57
	5.79	4.69	1.51	Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (5.24)	4.54 ↑ (4.26)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
16.9%

Draw
20.8%

Genk
62.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

22.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	0%	97%

Kortrijk - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: Genk will win (32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 20. Dewaele G. 44. Silva J. (C) 24. Fujii H. 30. Kaneko T. 16. Dejaegere B. 26. Lagae B. 27. Sissako A. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 19. Nacho 68. Ambrose T.	1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 18. Kayembe J. 17. Hrosovsky P. 8. Heynen B. (C) 23. Steuckers J. 7. Bonsu Baah C. 24. Sattlberger N. 99. Arokodare T.
Substitutes
17. Bruno M. 7. El Idrissy M. 14. Fossum I. 15. Malinov K. 4. Mampassi M. 45. Messaoudi B. 95. Pirard L. (G) 21. Simic R. 23. Takamine T.	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 15. Claes T. 20. Karetsas K. 44. Ndenge Kongolo J. 27. Nkuba K. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 34. Palacios A. 39. Penders M. (G) 2. Pierre K.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.	Fink T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Bonsu Baah C. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Nacho ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Nacho ⚽, Ambrose T. (A),
26', Dejaegere B. 🟨,
33', Bonsu Baah C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Sissako A. 🟨,
70', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
70', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
74', Dejaegere B. ↓, Bruno M. ↑,
79', Silva J. 🟨,
87', Dewaele G. ↓, Mampassi M. ↑,
87', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Takamine T. ↑,
87', Kaneko T. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,
90+3', Nacho ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 1.

Kortrijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Genk in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Genk is a favorite.

There are questionable in Genk: Oyen L. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 20:38 (average 1:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Kortrijk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.09.24	Saint-Gilloise - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Kortrijk - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Charleroi - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTL
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.24	Genk - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Genk - Dender EH	4:0 ✺
17.09.24	Anderlecht - Genk	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Genk	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Genk - Westerlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.12.23	Genk - Kortrijk	4:0
29.10.23	Kortrijk - Genk	0:3
26.12.22	Kortrijk - Genk	1:0
08.10.22	Genk - Kortrijk	2:1
27.02.22	Genk - Kortrijk	2:0
07.08.21	Kortrijk - Genk	1:2
09.01.21	Kortrijk - Genk	2:1

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