Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Bidezarra		Ardoi

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.1	3
	2.36	3.01	3.03
	3.46	1.87	3.90	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.8
	2.32	2.96	3.01
	2.3	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.02)	2.81 ↓ (3.22)	3.12 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidezarra
37.2%

Draw
33.1%

Ardoi
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidezarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bidezarra's form might have worsened.

Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidezarra than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bidezarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Bidezarra - Ardoi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Bidezarra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ardoi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bidezarra could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bidezarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bidezarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Bidezarra	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bidezarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.02.26	Beti Kozkor - Bidezarra	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Egüés - Bidezarra	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bidezarra - Huarte	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Cortes - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWTL
- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
15.02.26	Ardoi - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Pamplona - Ardoi	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Ardoi - Cirbonero	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Artajonés - Ardoi	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Ardoi - Subiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.10.25	Ardoi - Bidezarra	1:0
06.10.24	Bidezarra - Ardoi	1:1
10.02.24	Ardoi - Bidezarra	2:0

Bidezarra - Ardoi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide