Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Pamplona		Ardoi

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.35	4.35
	1.72	3.5	4.54
	1.02	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.2
	1.68	3.42	4.69
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)	3 ↓ (3.55)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamplona
51.6%

Draw
27.4%

Ardoi
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.9%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamplona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamplona than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Pamplona - Ardoi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 3.

Recent performances by Pamplona have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ardoi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Pamplona is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pamplona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pamplona	5	0	4	1	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Pamplona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
31.01.26	Beti Kozkor - Pamplona	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Pamplona - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Egüés - Pamplona	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Huarte - Pamplona	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Pamplona - Cortes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWL
- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
01.02.26	Ardoi - Cirbonero	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Artajonés - Ardoi	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Ardoi - Subiza	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ardoi - San Juan	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Beti Onak - Ardoi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
27.09.25	Ardoi - Pamplona	0:2
16.11.24	Pamplona - Ardoi	0:0
01.12.23	Pamplona - Ardoi	0:1
08.01.23	Ardoi - Pamplona	0:1
11.09.22	Pamplona - Ardoi	5:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.06.21	Ardoi - Pamplona	2:1 ET

Pamplona - Ardoi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide