Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday


	Alfreton Town		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.4	4.4	5.75
	1.4	4.75	8.5
	1.37	4.48	6.82
	1.41	4.66	7.19	Watch
	1.4	5.44	8.65	Watch
	1.4	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	4.71 ↓ (4.73)	7.27 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
67.2%

Draw
19.9%

Spalding United
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

19.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

19.7%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Alfreton Town - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (1 - 1)
Penalties (4 - 3)

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Alfreton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spalding has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alfreton is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Spalding United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
03.09.24	Darlington - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Alfreton Town - Farsley	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Needham Market - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTWW
- Spalding United
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Spalding United - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Harborough Town - Spalding United	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Spalding United - Sudbury Town	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	St Ives Town - Spalding United	5:1 ✺
24.08.24	Spalding United - AFC Telford United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.09.24	Spalding United - Alfreton Town	0:0

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