Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Biggleswade Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.75
	1.66	3.85	4.1
	1.79	3.83	4.08
	1.75	3.84	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.38)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	3.98 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Biggleswade Town
52.9%

Draw
24.2%

Hednesford Town
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

24.9%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biggleswade Town's performance.

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hednesford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biggleswade Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hednesford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	3%	2%

Biggleswade Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Biggleswade Town will win (votes: 96 - 95%). Hednesford will win (votes: 2 - 2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Biggleswade Town: 90.7% – 99.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hednesford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Biggleswade Town is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Biggleswade Town won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
12.04.22	Biggleswade Town - Coalville Town	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Peterborough Sports - Biggleswade Town	3:0 ✺
29.03.22	Biggleswade Town - Rushden & Diamonds	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge	1:3 ✺
22.03.22	Biggleswade Town - Needham Market	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLW
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
09.04.22	Hednesford Town - Alvechurch	1:4 ✺
02.04.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	0:0 ✺
29.03.22	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
26.03.22	Hednesford Town - Royston Town	0:2 ✺
22.03.22	Hednesford Town - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.08.21	Hednesford Town - Biggleswade Town	1:1
30.11.19	Biggleswade Town - Hednesford Town	1:0

Upcoming Matches