Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 30

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Biggleswade Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.7	3.6	1.82
	3.63	3.6	1.92
	3.8	3.72	1.88
	3.91	3.52	1.79
	3.7	3.6	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.1)	3.59 ↓ (3.81)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biggleswade Town
24.7%

Draw
25.5%

Stourbridge
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23.4%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stourbridge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Freemantle E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 0 - 2, Barnett T. ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, Freemantle E. (Pen),
75', 1 - 3, Nagheep I. (Pen),
85', 1 - 4, Kettle J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 0.

Biggleswade Town is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stourbridge is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Biggleswade Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stourbridge is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:21 (average 0.9:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Biggleswade Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
04.02.25	AFC Telford United - Biggleswade Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Royston Town - Biggleswade Town	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Biggleswade Town - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.01.25	Biggleswade Town - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLL
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
01.02.25	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	0:1 ✺
21.01.25	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Spalding United - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
02.11.24	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	0:0
26.03.22	Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge	1:3
20.11.21	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	2:0
03.10.20	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	2:2
28.12.19	Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge	1:2
09.02.19	Stourbridge - Biggleswade Town	2:0
27.11.18	Biggleswade Town - Stourbridge	1:2

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