Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.37
	2.43	3.5	2.42
	2.4	3.75	2.57
	2.42	3.58	2.54
	2.65	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.45 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
36.9%

Draw
26%

Alvechurch
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Hednesford Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Hednesford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alvechurch has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Alvechurch have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.01.23	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	9:1 ✺
14.01.23	Hednesford Town - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bedford Town - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
02.01.23	Hednesford Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLL
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
24.01.23	St Ives Town - Alvechurch	3:1 ✺
14.01.23	Basford United - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
02.01.23	Tamworth - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
26.12.22	Alvechurch - Redditch United	3:3 ✺
17.12.22	Ilkeston - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.09.22	Alvechurch - Hednesford Town	1:0
09.04.22	Hednesford Town - Alvechurch	1:4
21.08.21	Alvechurch - Hednesford Town	0:1
18.01.20	Alvechurch - Hednesford Town	0:1
24.08.19	Hednesford Town - Alvechurch	3:0

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