Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	2.43	3.45	2.45
	2.5	3.56	2.52
	2.53	3.42	2.54
	2.45	3.5	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.4)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
37%

Draw
26.3%

Stourbridge
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Hednesford Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 2.

Hednesford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stourbridge in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stourbridge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stourbridge have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.22	Hednesford Town - Barwell	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Hednesford Town - Royston Town	3:3 ✺
18.10.22	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Hitchin Town - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
11.10.22	Basford United - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLTL
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
25.10.22	Ilkeston - Stourbridge	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Leiston - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Stourbridge - Stratford Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Needham Market - Stourbridge	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.10.22	Bedford Town - Stourbridge	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.08.22	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	0:0
29.03.22	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	3:1
16.08.21	Stourbridge - Hednesford Town	1:2
19.09.20	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	1:4
25.01.20	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	1:2
17.08.19	Stourbridge - Hednesford Town	0:3
English NPL Premier Division
07.04.18	Hednesford Town - Stourbridge	1:1

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