Match Info

Date: 22 August 2020, Saturday


	Birmingham City		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.26	3.25	2.75
	2.34	3.56	2.86
	2.32	3.38	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.7)	3.36 ↓ (3.62)	2.7 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
39.1%

Draw
27.1%

Memphis 901
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

20.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memphis 901's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+26.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memphis 901, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Birmingham City - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Birmingham has a very good chance of playoffs (96%), has a chance of qtrs (48%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Memphis has a small chance of playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Birmingham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Memphis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Memphis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
USL Championship
15.08.20	North Carolina - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
12.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Birmingham City - Atlanta United II	1:0 ✺
05.08.20	Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence	4:1 ✺
01.08.20	North Carolina - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
15.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Memphis 901	3:2 ✺
08.08.20	Memphis 901 - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
01.08.20	Memphis 901 - Saint Louis	1:0 ✺
25.07.20	Memphis 901 - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
18.07.20	Atlanta United II - Memphis 901	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
15.07.20	Birmingham City - Memphis 901	3:0
17.08.19	Birmingham City - Memphis 901	1:0
04.05.19	Memphis 901 - Birmingham City	2:2

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