Match Info

Date: 29 August 2020, Saturday


	Charlotte Independence		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.2
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.07	3.35	3.05
	2.11	3.42	3.29
	2.11	3.24	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.01)	3.34 ↑ (3.18)	3.14 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
43.7%

Draw
27.3%

Birmingham City
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

28.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

20.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlotte Independence that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Birmingham has a very good chance of playoffs (96%), has a chance of qtrs (48%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Charlotte Independence could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Charlotte Independence have a series of home games.

Charlotte Independence will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlotte Independence won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL Championship
26.08.20	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	1:0 ✺
23.08.20	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
15.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Memphis 901	3:2 ✺
15.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Louisville City	Canceled
12.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLW?T
- Birmingham City
Club Friendly
29.08.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
22.08.20	Birmingham City - Memphis 901	2:2 ✺
15.08.20	North Carolina - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
12.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
08.08.20	Birmingham City - Atlanta United II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	1:1
05.08.20	Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence	4:1
27.07.19	Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence	1:0
15.06.19	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	4:1

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