Match Info

Date: 3 November 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 5d 10h 📅 Remind Me


	Birmingham City		Millwall

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.70	3.50
	1.97	3.55	3.55
	2.04	3.72	3.34	Watch
	1.99	3.55	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.98)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	3.47 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
47%

Draw
25.9%

Millwall
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Birmingham City - Millwall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.

Birmingham has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Millwall has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Birmingham is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:22 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Birmingham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Birmingham	12	5	5	2	20:12	8	20
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Birmingham: 7.86% Millwall: 2.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Birmingham City - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.18%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
24.10.26	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers	3:0 ✺
13.10.26	Birmingham City - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWT
- Millwall
English League Championship
24.10.26	Portsmouth - Millwall	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Millwall - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
13.10.26	Millwall - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Millwall - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.02.26	Millwall - Birmingham City	3:0
04.11.25	Birmingham City - Millwall	4:0
09.03.24	Millwall - Birmingham City	1:0
02.09.23	Birmingham City - Millwall	1:1
18.04.23	Millwall - Birmingham City	0:1
02.11.22	Birmingham City - Millwall	0:0
23.04.22	Birmingham City - Millwall	2:2

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