Match Info

Championship - Round 14

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Birmingham City		Millwall

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.73	3.69	4.91	Watch
	1.75	3.77	5.15
	1.95	3.53	3.81	Watch
	1.77	3.48	4.66	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.95)	3.58 ↑ (3.53)	4.64 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
53%

Draw
26.5%

Millwall
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.8%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Birmingham City - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Millwall (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Millwall (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Birmingham (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Millwall (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Beadle J. (G) 24. Iwata T. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 7. Doyle T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 10. Gray D. 33. Ducksch M.	15. Crocombe M. (G) 45. Harding W. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 23. Bryan J. 24. De Norre C. 8. Mitchell B. 10. Neghli C. 25. Cundle L. 7. Ballo T. 9. Ivanovic M.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 14. Anderson K. 41. Cashin E. 17. Dykes L. 9. Furuhashi K. 30. Koumas L. 12. Leonard M. 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 6. Robinson J.	31. Bangura-Williams R. 43. Coleman J. (G) 22. Emakhu A. 27. Grant K. 16. Kelly D. 17. Langstaff M. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 3. Sturge Z. 6. Taylor C.
Coaches
Davies C.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Gray D. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Cochrane A. ⚽,
57', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
59', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
59', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽,
71', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
72', Ballo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
72', Ivanovic M. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
79', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
79', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
79', Mitchell B. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
89', Doyle T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.

Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Millwall is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Benda S. (Inactive) Coburn J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Azeez F. (Injury) Leonard R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Birmingham City - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
01.11.25	Birmingham City - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
25.10.25	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Preston North End - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Birmingham City - Hull City	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLT
- Millwall
English League Championship
01.11.25	Oxford United - Millwall	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Millwall - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Millwall - West Bromwich Albion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.03.24	Millwall - Birmingham City	1:0
02.09.23	Birmingham City - Millwall	1:1
18.04.23	Millwall - Birmingham City	0:1
02.11.22	Birmingham City - Millwall	0:0
23.04.22	Birmingham City - Millwall	2:2
04.12.21	Millwall - Birmingham City	3:1
17.02.21	Millwall - Birmingham City	2:0

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