Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Birmingham City		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.6
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	1.77	3.7	3.65
	1.99	3.66	3.49
	2	3.5	3.3
	1.92	3.62	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	3.46 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
48%

Draw
25.6%

Charlotte Independence
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

17.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Birmingham has a very good chance of playoffs (99%), has a good chance of qtrs (51%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Charlotte Independence could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
12.09.20	Birmingham City - Brentford	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
05.09.20	Memphis 901 - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
05.09.20	Birmingham City - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
02.09.20	Birmingham City - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.09.20	Birmingham City - Walsall	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLLW
- Charlotte Independence
USL Championship
05.09.20	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	3:1 ✺
02.09.20	Memphis 901 - Charlotte Independence	0:2 ✺
29.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	1:4 ✺
26.08.20	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	1:0 ✺
23.08.20	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	1:4
12.08.20	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	1:1
05.08.20	Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence	4:1
27.07.19	Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence	1:0
15.06.19	Charlotte Independence - Birmingham City	4:1

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