Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 11

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)


	Birmingham City LFC		Durham

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.7	9.8
	1.22	5.85	10.75	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.25	6.06	9.92
	1.2	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	5.72 ↑ (4.99)	10.49 ↑ (8.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birmingham City LFC
75.2%

Draw
16%

Durham
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.5%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

17.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Birmingham City LFC - Durham Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Franch A. (G) 18. McKenna R. 6. Cooke S. 30. Herron N. 15. Holloway R. 16. Crosthwaite L. 19. Cornet C. 22. Hurtre O. 10. Harrison-Murray C. (C) 23. Bance L. 27. Sarri V.	35. Sheppard C. (G) 2. Ayre G. 5. Wilson S. (C) 20. Foster M. 3. Briggs L. 7. Hepple B. 4. Toland T. 10. Blake H. 8. Lambert M. 48. Collinson G. 17. Speckmaier M.
Substitutes
32. Baker A. 91. Ji So-Yun 36. Locke E. 29. Louis B. 37. Mannu R. 11. McGowan T. 17. Quinn Lu. . Robinson A. 1. Thomas L. (G)	29. Coulson L. 16. Ede G. 27. Jones A. 13. King A. (G) 25. McFarland L. 15. Pritchard P. 19. Wilson E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', Ayre G. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Sarri V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Cornet C. ⚽,
49', 3 - 0, Crosthwaite L. ⚽,
50', Cooke S. 🟨,
57', Harrison-Murray C. ↓, Ji So-Yun ↑,
60', Blake H. ↓, Pritchard P. ↑,
60', Collinson G. ↓, McFarland L. ↑,
78', Bance L. ↓, Louis B. ↑,
84', Crosthwaite L. ↓, Quinn Lu. ↑,
84', Speckmaier M. ↓, Ede G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.

Birmingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Durham has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Durham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
07.12.25	Crystal Palace - Birmingham City LFC	3:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.11.25	Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC	3:4 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
16.11.25	Birmingham City LFC - Portsmouth	5:2 ✺
10.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Birmingham City LFC	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Birmingham City LFC - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWL
- Durham WFC
English FA Cup Women
14.12.25	Durham - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
English WSL 2
07.12.25	Durham - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.11.25	Sunderland - Durham	2:1 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
16.11.25	Southampton - Durham	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Durham - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
20.04.25	Birmingham City LFC - Durham	3:1
English FA Cup Women
08.12.24	Birmingham City LFC - Durham	0:1
English WSL 2
29.09.24	Durham - Birmingham City LFC	1:0
28.04.24	Durham - Birmingham City LFC	1:0
19.11.23	Birmingham City LFC - Durham	3:1
23.04.23	Durham - Birmingham City LFC	1:2
19.04.23	Birmingham City LFC - Durham	1:0

Birmingham City LFC - Durham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide