Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham Legion		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.40	1.95
	3.25	3.55	1.92
	3.38	3.94	2
	3.3	3.98	1.94	Watch
	3.3	3.85	1.95
	3.31	3.62	1.92	Watch
	3.25	3.65	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.39)	3.71 ↓ (3.98)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
28.1%

Draw
24.7%

Charleston Battery
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

23.2%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

22.6%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Birmingham Legion - Charleston Battery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 27. Washington B. (C) 32. Diop H. 77. Brown N. 18. Antwi S. 8. Cole K. 16. Vassell P. 15. Pasher T. 19. Diarbian G. 17. Williams R.	1. Berner J. (G) 42. Martinez D. 16. Smith G. 22. Akpunonu J. 91. Houssou N. 8. Ycaza E. (C) 88. Pakhomov K. 99. Foster M. 90. Berry M. 29. Kelly J. 30. Swan C.
Substitutes
26. Daley A. 9. Damus R. 3. Kavita P. 11. McCartney D. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S.	4. Allan C. 7. Blackstock L. 13. Cabrera A. 36. Gwozdo B. 12. Hughes A. 10. Kissiedou L. 98. Rigsby C. (G) 9. Sanchez Gonzalez C. A.
Coaches
Heaps J.	Pirmann B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Tregarthen S. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Berry M. ⚽,
18', Williams R. 🟨,
21', 1 - 2, Berry M. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
28', Cole K. 🟨,
35', Kelly J. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Williams R. ⚽, Pasher T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Washington B. ↓, Kavita P. ↑,
66', Pakhomov K. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
66', Ycaza E. ↓, Kissiedou L. ↑,
71', Brown N. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
71', Vassell P. ↓, Daley A. ↑,
75', Swan C. ↓, Sanchez Gonzalez C. A. ↑,
75', Foster M. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
80', Williams R. ↓, Damus R. ↑,
80', Diarbian G. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
82', Martinez D. ↓, Blackstock L. ↑,
90+1', Pasher T. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0.

Birmingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Charleston Battery has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charleston Battery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Charleston Battery might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Birmingham Legion - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
05.09.26	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Birmingham Legion - Sporting Jacksonville	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Birmingham Legion	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLLW
- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
02.09.26	Charleston Battery - Hartford Athletic	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Charleston Battery - Miami	5:0 ✺
15.08.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Charleston Battery	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
21.03.26	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	3:2
25.10.25	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	2:1
02.07.25	Birmingham Legion - Charleston Battery	0:0
05.07.24	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	2:0
15.05.24	Birmingham Legion - Charleston Battery	0:1
28.10.23	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	2:1
14.10.23	Charleston Battery - Birmingham Legion	1:0

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