Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham Legion		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	4	4
	1.62	4.05	4.48
				Watch
	1.6	4	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.76)	4.02 ↑ (3.7)	4.31 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
56.4%

Draw
22.6%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Birmingham Legion - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Birmingham (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Birmingham (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Birmingham Legion will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Delgado F. (G) 3. Kavita P. 8. Hernandez-Foster K. 9. Damus R. 4. Hamouda R. 11. McCartney D. 7. Trejo D. 13. Rufe J. 19. Martinez E. 15. Pasher T. 21. Tregarthen S.	12. Jerez R. (G) 18. Green O. 4. Watters D. 22. Kinzner E. 11. Ramos J. 8. Ualefi 66. Knapp M. 5. Ayimbila J. 14. Hernandez P. 9. Vazquez Z. 10. Bentley M.
Substitutes
47. Calloway F. 5. Kos E. 6. McIllhatton S. 33. Mensah M. 10. Preston T. 18. Spangenberg T. (G) 43. Suarez S. 25. Torres R. 2. Turnbull S.	40. Alhassan A. 16. Gomez O. 17. Hernandez O. 3. Jnohope T. 23. Lelin Y. 1. Smith J. (G) 6. Wessels W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Trejo D. ⚽,
32', Jerez R. 🟨,
42', Damus R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kavita P. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
58', Vazquez Z. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
61', Tregarthen S. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
63', Watters D. 🟨,
65', Knapp M. 🟥,
71', 2 - 0, Preston T. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
72', Green O. ↓, Gomez O. ↑,
72', Bentley M. ↓, Alhassan A. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Damus R. ⚽, Trejo D. (A),
84', Ramos J. ↓, Lelin Y. ↑,
84', Ualefi ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
84', Pasher T. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
84', Martinez E. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
86', Hernandez P. 🟨,
86', Delgado F. 🟨,
88', Trejo D. ↓, Calloway F. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Birmingham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chattanooga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Birmingham have a series of guest games.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
19.04.25	Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Detroit City - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
19.03.25	Little Rock Rangers - Birmingham Legion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLTL
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
19.04.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Las Vegas Lights - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:3 penalties ✺
USL League One
12.04.25	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - South Georgia Tormenta	2:2 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Chattanooga - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
17.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Chattanooga Red Wolves	4:2 ET
05.04.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion	1:4

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